Episode 209: Popular SWR Delusions And The Madness Of Gurus And Portfolio Reviews As Of September 30, 2022

In this episode we answer a lengthy email from Kevin about issues with popular estimates of Safe Withdrawal Rates. We then discuss the problems with and failings of some of these estimates and their underlying analysis, including why Best Practices beat Convenient Shibboleths, failures to analyze non-simplistic portfolios, misuse of the "reversion to the mean" concept, improper use of conservative assumptions and modelling software, improper use of the 30-year time frame, and the failur...