Can Bitcoin Go Negative? How Bitcoin Futures Contracts Work

Matt Wraith, CTO of Bitnomial, explains the arcane world of Bitcoin futures trading. Physical delivery vs cash-settled futures to exploring the possibilities of fork futures markets, Matt breaks down complex market mechanics with real-world examples. How could chain splits could be traded, the quantum computing threat to Bitcoin, and why having oil storage matters when futures go negative.

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Notes:

- Bitnomial founded 2014, launched futures 2020

- Oil futures went negative in March 2020

- Bitcoin Cash hashrate flipped BTC post-fork

- Quantum computer threat "5 years away for 30 years"

- Physical delivery requires actual BTC transfer

- Fork futures first appeared during SegWit debate

Timestamps:

00:00 Start

01:09 Founding Bitnomial

03:32 Regulatory changes

05:16 CTO role

06:09 Multiple hats

07:29 Futures

10:08 History of futures

12:38 Physical delivery

14:48 Storage costs

17:25 Clearing house

18:27 Cash settled

21:22 Bitcoin futures history

25:23 Forks & futures

37:02 Assets on Bitcoin

41:22 Restrictions on futures

45:04 Black Swan pricing

48:18 Quantum

52:52 Presidio Bitcoin Quantum Conference

55:36 Futures as governance

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