Episode 542: Forecasting 101 Applied To Personal Liability And Historians And Practical Goals For Accumulation

In this episode we answer emails from Mike, Jack, and Andrew. We discuss how to do forecasting using the risk of a personal injury lawsuit as an example, why historians are generally bad a forecasting and a better approach than assuming causation, reveal Ferguson's Law to be a slippery slope argument, and explain how the 25x expenses rule fits real human behavior better than a mathematically correct 20x expenses calculation. Along the way we thank our donors to the Top of the T-shirt ...